Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series here, as of December ...

The inverted Bund yields continued this week with the negative 2-year/10-year yield spread at negative 50.5 basis points compared to negative 46.9 basis points last week. As a result, today’s ...

An unprecedented inversion of the U.S. yield curve led to a sharp increase in the New York Fed's recession probability estimates. A one-month Treasury bill currently yields 2.2% more than a 10-year ...